Process Safety and Environmental Protection, Vol.81, No.B1, 19-30, 2003
The new version of ARIPAR and the benefits given in assessing and managing major risks in industrialised areas
The concentration of industrial activities located close to residential areas poses problems of land use planning, risk control, emergency planning and responses to public authorities. The decision-making process requires the analysis of a large amount of information on risk sources, accident modelling, population distribution, etc. The treatment of such information needs the support of informatic tools. ARIPAR version 3.0 is a software package that implements a probabilistic methodology for the assessment of the risks of complex industrial areas, including transport of dangerous substances, to obtain a number of different risk measures. The paper illustrates the basis of the methodology and the main features of the software; some elements from real applications on industrial areas in Italy are presented as well.
Keywords:quantitative area risk analysis;accident scenario;accident consequences;local risk;individual risk;societal risk;geographical information systems