Energy, Vol.148, 324-340, 2018
A wind vector simulation model and its application to adequacy assessment
Modelling wind profile is crucial to the adequacy assessment of wind-integrated generation system. This paper characterizes the wind profile as a wind vector that consists of wind speed and direction. A wind vector simulation model is proposed to produce long-term wind vector samples, whilst maintain the probability distribution of actual wind vector as well as its gusty characteristics. Such model is incorporated into sequential simulation process of wind-integrated generation system, while the wake effect is considered with Jensen model. Then, adequacy assessment procedure considering wake effect is developed. Collected wind vector data from four distinctive sites in North Dakota in US are used to verify the proposed model. The wind-integrated IEEE Reliability Test System (IEEE-RTS) is used to demonstrate the application of the proposed model and the procedure to adequacy assessment. The impacts of wake effect, peak load, and wind turbine type on system adequacy are investigated in detail. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:Adequacy assessment;Copula;Monte Carlo simulation;Wake effect;Wind-integrated generation system