화학공학소재연구정보센터
Energy and Buildings, Vol.33, No.2, 85-91, 2001
Long-term energy demand predictions based on short-term measured data
In order to obtain long-term predictions based on short-term data, a neural network model was developed. The model parameters are indoor and outdoor temperature difference and energy for heating and internal use. For purposes of training the neural network model a method for extending the measured data to represent an annual variation is proposed. The method has been applied on six single-family buildings. Based on access to data from 2 to 5 weeks, the deviation between predicted and measured dirunal energy demand on an annual basis was about 4% with a correlation of 90-95%. when access to the indoor and outdoor temperature difference was assumed. For models based on access to data from the warmest periods with a very small heating demand, the deviation was about 2-4 times larger. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.