Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells, Vol.67, No.1-4, 551-557, 2001
Hourly forecast of global irradiation using GMS satellite images
This paper describes the methods for forecasting solar irradiance by using geostationary meteorological satellite (GMS) images. As the first attempt the authors forecasted the cloud albedo for a basic study of irradiance estimation by estimating the driving drift vector of clouds using GMS images. A new procedure is also proposed for removing the effect of ground albedo, which disturbs cloud movement analysis. This time, annual forecastable probability was estimated as 81.3% for Ih ahead, 71.0% for 2h ahead and 59.3% for 3h ahead, (C) 2001 Published by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:irradiation;albedo;forecast;geostationary meteorological satellites (GMS);drift vector of clouds