Energy Policy, Vol.31, No.15, 1647-1659, 2003
Scenario planning for electricity supply
Electricity generating systems using conventional electricity planning usually face demand-supply mismatch problems resulting from erroneous forecasting of the demand for electricity. Model simulation was used to investigate whether scenario planning would reduce such problems. It was found that scenario planning has the potential of reducing the cost of generating electricity by up to US$3000 million over a 15-year planning period for a medium-size supply system such as that of Thailand.