| 학회 | 한국화학공학회 |
| 학술대회 | 2017년 가을 (10/25 ~ 10/27, 대전컨벤션센터) |
| 권호 | 23권 2호, p.1592 |
| 발표분야 | 공정시스템 |
| 제목 | 부분최소자승법기반 에콰도르해안지방의 열대전염병 Dengue 기후영향인자 해석 |
| 초록 | The biology of dengue transmitter vector can be influenced by climatic factors which can contribute to its geographic distribution. We performed a prediction analysis of dengue cases for assessing the importance of climatic drivers influencing outbreaks in the Ecuadorian coast region. Local climate data and total dengue cases (TDC) reported during 2013 and 2015 were used into a partial least square regression which showed to maximum and minimum temperature as the factors with higher projecting capacity in the prediction of TDC. The results reveal the dengue outbreak season goes from March to June and a future estimation predicted the next high outbreak to occur in 2018. Monitoring the climate drivers identified in this study could provide some predictive lead for forecasting dengue epidemics. Acknowledgements: This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (NRF-2012R1A1B3001400). |
| 저자 | Gabriel Jacome, 유창규 |
| 소속 | 경희대 |
| 키워드 | 화학 및 생물공정; 공정모사 |
| 원문파일 | 초록 보기 |
