화학공학소재연구정보센터
학회 한국화학공학회
학술대회 2010년 봄 (04/22 ~ 04/23, 대구 EXCO)
권호 16권 1호, p.988
발표분야 화학공정안전
제목 A Studyon theRisk Estimationin the Chemical Industries based on the Chemical Accident Database
초록 Risk concerns the expected value of one or more results of one or more future events. It is very important to the estimation of risk because the chemical accidents are risky and may cause catastrophic accidents when event occurred. To deduce various countermeasure,risk estimation and analysisis essentail indispensable issue to expectpossibilily and damageof occurrence. Dataare collected on the failure rate of a particular hardware component fails a certain period of time based on the chemical accdident database.The new approach for estimation of risk is proposed using financial matrix of likelihood vs $ total loss and possion distribution.The proposed method can estimate the risk of expected loss form accident frequency and damage andsuggest the semi-quantitative risk analysis based on the database.
저자 장남진, 윤인섭
소속 서울대
키워드 Risk estimation; Chmical accidnet database; Monte carlo simulation
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