| 학회 | 한국화학공학회 |
| 학술대회 | 2008년 봄 (04/23 ~ 04/25, 제주ICC) |
| 권호 | 14권 1호, p.240 |
| 발표분야 | 공정시스템 |
| 제목 | Modeling and simulation of gas demand forecasting |
| 초록 | Demand forecasting is a key process in the running of Gas network. An accurate forecast is required to enable system balancing thus ensuring a safe and secure supply at minimum cost. Over a number of years, a range of forecasting tools have been developed and research is ongoing to meet the need for ever more accurate forecasts. The method relies on dividing a year into two seasons as Summer Type and Winter Type and estimating individual autoregressive time series models for each period instead of attempting to capture the seasonal patterns in a single model. In the models, the dynamic relationships between gas consumption with time and degree-days measured by weather temperature variations are investigated. |
| 저자 | 이재익, 이광순, 윤우현, 원왕연 |
| 소속 | 서강대 |
| 키워드 | Gas Demand Forecasting; Modeling; Simulation |
| 원문파일 | 초록 보기 |
